Frequently Asked Questions
 
 
 

Technical/Reference Information

How can I find out more about Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques?

What is the difference between the green and red bars or "candles" appearing on the charts.

When the Fed lowers the fed funds rate, why doesn't the rate the banks charge go down the same amount? What other factors affect the interest rate for a home loan?

What does it mean to have a 5% handle?

What does the phrase "Jumped like the Chicken” mean?

 
 

Q: How can I find out more about Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques?

A: There is a book by Steve Nison “Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques”, which offers a comprehensive explanation of chart reading and patterns. For Steve's website, go to: http://www.candlecharts.com.

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Q: What is the difference between the green and red bars or "candles" appearing on the charts.

A: Each day on the chart will be represented by a bar or candle colored green or red. A green-colored candle means the closing price was higher than the day's opening price. A red-colored candle means the closing price was lower than the day's opening price. These candles form patterns we use to predict future direction in price movement and therefore corresponding future movement of interest rates. See the articles in the Valuable Tools and Extras section.

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Q: When the Fed lowers the fed funds rate, why doesn't the rate the banks charge go down the same amount? What other factors affect the interest rate for a home loan?

A: A change in the federal funds rate usually results in banks immediately changing their prime lending rate by a like amount. The federal funds rate is the interest rate banks charge each other to borrow banking reserves held at the Fed. You can view it as a bank's marginal cost of funds.

Thirty-year fixed-rate mortgages aren't going to be priced off federal funds, which is an overnight lending rate between banks. Trends in the yield of the 10-year Treasury note are a much better predictor of where interest rates are going in the fixed-rate mortgage market. At this writing, the 10-year Treasury note is yielding 4.95 percent. Time may prove me wrong, but I don't think there's a whole lot of room for the 10-year note's yield to reach much lower yields over the next six months.

Credit risk and collateral (down payment) are two of the major determinants of mortgage interest rates influenced by the consumer. The interest rate on a mortgage has to be high enough above the Treasury rate to compensate mortgage investors for the increased risks associated with investing in mortgages.

Check out:

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The Fed funds rate (FFR), the overnight lending rate between banks, is a money market rate that the Fed steers towards its target through its control of excess reserves. Banks typically raise the rate at which they lend money to their best customers -- their prime rate -- after the Fed raises the overnight lending rate.

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Q: What does it mean to have a 5% handle?

Would this equate to a 5% 30 year fixed rate? Please continue to keep us informed about this. Where else can we find info about this?

A: A 5% handle means 5.xx% like 5.5%, 5.875%, 5.75% etc.

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Q: What does the phrase "Jumped like the Chicken” mean?

A: Many subscribers have asked us about this. Do chickens really jump? Is there a special breed of chickens in NJ that have this unique ability? The answer is that the "Jumping action" comes from a seasoning of the chicken rather than a physical ability. A while back, some of the MMGSM team won a golf tournament at Shackamaxon golf club in NJ. After the tournament, a wonderful bounty of food was presented including, Lobster, Chateau Briand, Shrimp, Rack of Lamb, and Chicken breast. With all the other offerings, who would have thought that a Chicken breast could steal the show...but it did. The exceptional blend of seasonings caused the flavor of the Chicken to "Jump" in your mouth. Ever since then it has been a point of reference...wow, it "Jumped like the Chicken!"

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